- Santos' proven UFC record (66.7% win rate) vs Croden's debut status
- Complete statistical profile showing 4.28 SLPM, 80% TDD, 1.2 subs per fight
- Recent submission victories demonstrating active finishing ability
- Experience against elite competition including title challenger Shevchenko
Write-up
Santos brings proven UFC experience with a 66.7% win rate and complete statistical profile, while Croden debuts with no available data. Santos' well-rounded game includes 4.28 SLPM, 80% takedown defense, and 1.2 submissions per fight, showing multiple paths to victory. Her recent submission wins demonstrate finishing ability, while the loss to Shevchenko proves championship-level experience. The weight class change from flyweight to bantamweight could benefit Santos' power. Without any data on Croden's style or level of competition, Santos' proven UFC skillset and finishing threats make her the clear favorite.
- Established UFC sample for Santos with efficient output: 4.28 SLpM on 51% accuracy and positive strike differential
- Strong defensive metrics for Santos (61% striking defense, 80% takedown defense) suggesting reliability over three rounds
- Croden's lack of UFC data and unproven cardio/defense at this level versus Santos' demonstrated ability to mix striking and grappling
Write-up
Santos brings proven UFC metrics and a well-rounded game, high striking accuracy (51%), solid defensive numbers (61% striking defense, 80% takedown defense), and consistent offensive wrestling (1.62 TDs per fight, 1.2 subs per fight). Croden enters with no UFC sample and unknown efficiency at this level, making it difficult to project her outperforming Santos' established pace and durability. Over three rounds, Santos' mix of clean boxing combinations, clinch work, and opportunistic takedowns should allow her to bank minutes, control the tempo, and win on volume and cage control, even if she doesn't secure a finish.