Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Bleda holds significant physical advantages with 2 inches in height and 5 inches in reach, crucial at flyweight. Her superior grappling metrics (1.81 takedowns per fight vs Horth's 1.0) and submission threat (0.7 sub attempts per fight) create multiple paths to victory. Horth's recent 2-fight losing streak and weight class instability (moving between bantamweight and flyweight) suggest she's struggling to find her optimal fighting weight. Bleda's 83% takedown defense neutralizes Horth's wrestling, while her reach advantage allows her to control distance.

Bleda's higher takedown volume, strong 83% takedown defense, and superior strike differential suggest she can dictate where the fight takes place. Horth is the cleaner, more accurate striker, but Bleda's wrestling pace and submission threat should allow her to bank control-heavy rounds even if exchanges on the feet are competitive.