Giga Chikadze vs Kevin Vallejos

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Major upset potential. Vallejos brings a 16-1 record with 4 straight finishes, while Chikadze has lost 3 of 5. Vallejos' superior volume (6.85 SLPM vs 3.92) and better striking accuracy (51% vs 42%) could overwhelm the declining Chikadze. The 6-inch reach disadvantage is concerning, but Vallejos' switch stance and 5-fight win streak suggest he can adapt.

Chikadze's technical kickboxing, range management, and 6-inch reach edge should let him control distance and scoring against Vallejos' higher-volume but more hittable style. Vallejos' 6.85 SLpM with 51% accuracy is impressive, but his 5.81 SApM and 55% defense suggest he will be very available for Giga's counters and body/leg attacks over three rounds. With neither fighter showing meaningful offensive wrestling or submissions in their stats, this projects as a largely stand-up fight where Chikadze's experience against elite featherweights and superior shot selection slightly outperforms Vallejos' pace. Vallejos' youth and volume keep him competitive and durable enough to see the cards more often than not.