Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Kape's recent finishing streak (2 straight TKOs) and superior striking defense (59% vs 47%) give him the edge. While Royval has better grappling metrics, Kape's improved takedown defense (73%) and power striking advantage should control the fight. Both are southpaws, neutralizing stance advantages. Kape's momentum from finishing Almabayev and Silva suggests peak form.

Kape's superior striking accuracy, better defensive metrics, and strong takedown defense should allow him to control the stand-up over three rounds, limiting Royval's scrambling and submission opportunities despite Royval's higher grappling threat and chaos-based style.