Allen Frye Jr. vs Guilherme Pat

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

This heavyweight debut matchup lacks UFC data for both fighters, making it highly unpredictable. Pat has a 4-year age advantage and likely more regional experience. Heavyweight debuts often favor more seasoned competitors who can manage the pace and avoid early mistakes. Both share orthodox stances, suggesting a technical striking battle where experience and composure will be decisive factors.

With no UFC stat sample for either man, the lean comes from regional tape: Pat shows more polished, layered striking, better shot selection in exchanges, and cleaner defensive responsibility, while Frye Jr. is more hittable and tends to brawl in the pocket. Over three rounds, Pat's sharper boxing and countering, plus better composure under fire, slightly favor him to find a damaging sequence or accumulate enough impact to earn a stoppage or clear rounds.