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UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. KapeHeavyweightPrelims
Allen Frye Jr.
Allen
Frye Jr.
27 yrsElo 1505*UFC debut
VS
Guilherme PatWINNER
Guilherme
Pat
31 yrsElo 1520*UFC debut
Final: Guilherme Pat by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
58%
Pat
GPT
60%
Pat
Elo
52%
Pat
1505 vs 1520
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
0% Strike accuracy 0%
0% Strike defense 0%
0% TD accuracy 0%
0% TD defense 0%
Small sample: Allen Frye Jr., 0 UFC fights; Guilherme Pat, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 35%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 50%
50%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 35%Submission 15%Decision 50%
GPT: KO/TKO 48%GPT: Submission 7%GPT: Decision 45%
48%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO
KO/TKO 48%Submission 7%Decision 45%
Why
Claude
Guilherme Pat
58% · Decision
  • Pat's 4-year age advantage suggests more overall fighting experience
  • Heavyweight debuts typically see conservative approaches favoring decisions
  • Both 265-pound orthodox fighters indicate similar physical profiles
  • Lack of UFC data suggests both are unproven at this level
Write-up

This heavyweight debut matchup lacks UFC data for both fighters, making it highly unpredictable. Pat has a 4-year age advantage and likely more regional experience. Heavyweight debuts often favor more seasoned competitors who can manage the pace and avoid early mistakes. Both share orthodox stances, suggesting a technical striking battle where experience and composure will be decisive factors.

GPT
Guilherme Pat
60% · KO/TKO
  • Pat's more technical and structured striking game on regional footage, especially in boxing combinations and counters
  • Frye Jr.'s defensive gaps in the pocket and tendency to trade on straight lines, leaving openings for clean counters
  • Pat's better composure and shot selection over extended exchanges, which should translate better under UFC pacing
Write-up

With no UFC stat sample for either man, the lean comes from regional tape: Pat shows more polished, layered striking, better shot selection in exchanges, and cleaner defensive responsibility, while Frye Jr. is more hittable and tends to brawl in the pocket. Over three rounds, Pat's sharper boxing and countering, plus better composure under fire, slightly favor him to find a damaging sequence or accumulate enough impact to earn a stoppage or clear rounds.