Bantamweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
FINAL: Deiveson Figueiredo by S-DEC
Deiveson Figueiredo
Age 37 · Elo 1613
LLWWW
161 days since last fight
vs
Montel Jackson
Age 33 · Elo 1578
WWWWW
161 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Deiveson FigueiredoMontel Jackson
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Deiveson FigueiredoMontel Jackson
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Montel Jackson by KO/TKO, 72% confidence
Jackson's significant physical advantages (5 inches height, 7 inches reach) combined with his superior striking defense (63% vs 51%) create a nightmare matchup for Figueiredo. Jackson's 5-fight win streak with 3 recent KOs shows finishing momentum, while Figueiredo is coming off a loss and has absorbed significant damage recently. Jackson's 71% takedown accuracy neutralizes Figueiredo's grappling threat.
GPT
Montel Jackson by Decision, 74% confidence
Montel Jackson holds significant advantages in reach, defensive striking, and grappling efficiency. His striking defense (63%) and low strikes absorbed per minute (1.42) will mitigate Figueiredo's power, while his takedown accuracy (71%) and output (3.41 TDAvg) make him difficult to out-grapple. Figueiredo's submission threat is notable, but Jackson's size, reach, and control should allow him to dictate the range and pace, leading to a clear decision win.