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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. NolanWelterweightPrelims
Rodrigo SezinandoWINNER
Rodrigo
Sezinando
0-1UFC
28 yrsElo 1502*
VS
Theodor Berggren
Theodor
Berggren
26 yrsElo 1474*UFC debut
Final: Rodrigo Sezinando by KO/TKO
Who wins
Claude
52%
Sezinando
GPT
51%
Sezinando
Elo
54%
Sezinando
1502 vs 1474
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
n/a Height 5'11"
n/a Reach 75"
Orthodox Stance Switch
n/a Landed / min 3.49
n/a Absorbed / minlower better 10.78
0% Strike accuracy 35%
0% Strike defense 33%
0% TD accuracy 0%
0% TD defense 0%
Small sample: Rodrigo Sezinando, 1 UFC fight; Theodor Berggren, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 42%Claude: Submission 18%Claude: Decision 40%
42%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 42%Submission 18%Decision 40%
GPT: KO/TKO 45%GPT: Submission 20%GPT: Decision 35%
45%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 45%Submission 20%Decision 35%
Formnewest first
Rodrigo Sezinando413 days out
L
Daniil Donchenko
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-09-13
Theodor Berggren
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Rodrigo Sezinando
52% · KO/TKO
  • Shared opponent: both were stopped by Donchenko's punches, Sezinando in R1, so neither has shown durability against UFC power.
  • Record edge goes to Sezinando (9-2 vs 8-4), and he is the younger fighter.
  • Sezinando has been out 407 days, while Berggren fought 120 days ago.
  • Berggren's UFC stats are missing (debut flag) and Sezinando has one fight on record, so neither side's numbers can be used.
Write-up

There is very little data for this fight: no market line, no Elo, and a stats feed that conflicts with itself. Berggren is flagged as a UFC debutant with null stats, but the form log shows a KO/TKO loss to Daniil Donchenko on Jun. 27, 2026. Either way, none of his numbers can be used, and Sezinando's single UFC fight gives him only empty per-minute averages. Their one shared opponent tells us something: both were stopped by Donchenko's punches, Sezinando in R1. Neither man has shown he can take a hit at this level. Sezinando has the cleaner overall record (9-2 vs 8-4) and is the younger fighter (born Dec 1997). Against that, he has been out 407 days, while Berggren last fought 120 days ago. That layoff is a real concern, though it is below the ~450-day level where I'd treat it as a major risk. I give Sezinando a very slight edge because of the better record and youth, and I'm holding confidence near 50 given the debut-level uncertainty. Both men have shown they can be stopped, so a finish is a bit more likely than a decision, with KO/TKO the most likely single outcome.

GPT
Rodrigo Sezinando
51% · KO/TKO
  • Better listed record provides only a weak Sezinando edge
  • Longer inactivity disadvantages Sezinando
  • Conflicting records and missing reliable statistics create substantial uncertainty
Write-up

Sezinando gets a marginal lean from his listed 9-2 record versus Berggren's 8-4, although opposition quality is unknown. His reported 407-day layoff versus 120 days for Berggren offsets much of that advantage. Both reportedly lost by knockout to Donchenko, despite the common-opponent field reporting none; Berggren's debut flag also conflicts with his supplied statistics, which I discount. This is essentially a coin flip, with a tentative knockout prediction and method percentages conditional on Sezinando winning.