Both fighters made weight at the October 30 weigh-ins (Lebosnoyani 170.5, Hasanov 171). No other material fight-week news was found.
- Both Both fighters made weight at the official weigh-ins: Lebosnoyani at 170.5 lbs and Hasanov at 171 lbs. source
- Lebosnoyani's striking output: 9.71 SLpM at 78% accuracy with 64% defense against Phil Rowe; this is a single-fight sample and will regress
- Unknown: Lebosnoyani has no recorded takedown-defense data, which is the path for Hasanov's grappler style
- Experience gap: 13 pro fights with a Contender Series win and a 2-0 UFC run (Rowe, Ko) vs Hasanov's 6-0 record and conflicting UFC data
- Switch stance gives Lebosnoyani angle variety on the feet; he has a 72-inch reach
- Both fighters' recent wins were mostly decisions (Lebosnoyani 2 of 3, Hasanov 1 of 1), so the fight likely goes the distance
Write-up
This pick rests on thin data: no market line, no Elo, and conflicting records for Hasanov. His stats block marks him as a UFC debutant with no data. The form log, however, shows an unanimous-decision win over Eric Nolan in June 2026 and a 6-0 pro record. I therefore treat his numbers as unknown, not as zeros, and his 6-0 record outside the UFC as a short resume. The data tags him as a grappler or submission grappler. Lebosnoyani has a longer, more tested path. He is 11-2 and won on Dana White's Contender Series (TKO of Jack Congdon). He then won two UFC decisions, a split over Phil Rowe and a unanimous over Seokhyeon Ko. In his one fight with UFCStats data (Rowe) he landed 9.71 SLpM at 78% accuracy with 64% striking defense. That is a one-fight sample and will regress, but it points to a high-output switch-stance striker who can set the pace. The key unknown is his takedown defense, which has no recorded data. If Hasanov is the grappler his tag suggests and can chain takedowns, he can steal rounds with control and flip the fight. Lebosnoyani's activity (99 days since his last fight), his deeper pro record (13 fights vs 6) and his striking volume give him the edge. Both men's results point to a decision: two of Lebosnoyani's last three went the distance, and Hasanov's only logged UFC win was a decision. Confidence stays low, well under the 65 cap for a near-debutant, because data on both men is thin.
- Lebosnoyani has the more extensive documented recent winning run
- Small samples and conflicting Hasanov records limit confidence
- Two of Lebosnoyani's last three wins and Hasanov's listed win were decisions
Write-up
Lebosnoyani gets a narrow edge from his three documented recent wins and positive striking differential, although his striking averages cover only one recorded UFC bout. Hasanov's debut flag conflicts with the enrichment history, making his supplied UFC averages unreliable for establishing a stylistic advantage. His unbeaten record warrants respect, but opponent-quality evidence is insufficient to establish superiority. Listed layoffs of 99 and 120 days present no extended-inactivity concern. Recent results favor a decision, with substantial uncertainty overall. Method percentages are conditional on a Lebosnoyani win.