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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. PratesFeatherweightPrelims
Timmy
Cuamba
0-2UFC
VS
Roberto
Romero
Final: Timmy Cuamba by KO/TKO Flying Knee
Who wins
Cuamba winsevenRomero wins
GPT 70% Romero
Elo 59% Cuamba
Claude 60% Cuamba
Claude
60%
Cuamba
GPT
70%
Romero
Elo
59%
Cuamba
1533 vs 1473
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9"
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2.88
Landed / min
4.93
3.72
Absorbed / minlower better
8.07
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
55%
Strike defense
43%
1.18
Takedowns / 15
n/a
31%
TD accuracy
0%
71%
TD defense
66%
0.0
Subs / 15
n/a
Small sample: Timmy Cuamba, 2 UFC fights; Roberto Romero, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
60%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 60%Submission 0%Decision 40%
Formnewest first
Timmy Cuamba440 days out
L
Bolaji Oki
S-DEC · 2024-02-10
L
Lucas Almeida
U-DEC · 2024-01-13
Roberto Romero
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Timmy Cuamba
60% · Decision
- Cuamba's 71% takedown defense vs Romero's 66%
- Significant striking defense advantage for Cuamba
- More UFC-level experience for Cuamba
- Better phase control and position maintenance
Write-up
Cuamba's superior defensive metrics (60% vs 43%) and more proven takedown game suggest ability to control fight location and pace
GPT
Roberto Romero
70% · KO/TKO
- Romero's significant strike volume and accuracy gives him an edge in the stand-up fight
- Cuamba's recent form shows a downward trend with three losses, indicating lower momentum coming into this fight
- Romero has a slight reach advantage of 1 inch, which could be beneficial in striking exchanges
- Both fighters lack grappling history, indicating that the fight will likely be decided in striking exchanges
Write-up
Despite both fighters having a similar striking style, Romero is seen to have a higher volume of significant strikes per minute (SLPM) at 4.93 compared to Cuamba's 3. Romero also has a better striking accuracy at 47% compared to Cuamba's 40%. Although Cuamba's takedown defense at 71% is higher than Romero's 66%, this is less significant given their striking styles.