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UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. PratesWelterweightPrelims
Randy BrownWINNER
Randy
Brown
13-6UFC
34 yrsElo 1571
VS
Nicolas Dalby
Nicolas
Dalby
9-4UFC
40 yrsElo 1570
Final: Randy Brown by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Claude
70%
Brown
GPT
65%
Brown
Elo
50%
Brown
1571 vs 1570
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'3" Height 5'11"
78" Reach 74"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
4.38 Landed / min 4.06
3.20 Absorbed / minlower better 3.52
47% Strike accuracy 43%
54% Strike defense 52%
0.72 Takedowns / 15 1.01
39% TD accuracy 27%
70% TD defense 58%
0.6 Subs / 15 0.1
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 60%GPT: Submission 15%GPT: Decision 25%
60%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO, Round 3
KO/TKO 60%Submission 15%Decision 25%
Formnewest first
Randy Brown139 days out
L
Bryan Battle
S-DEC · 2024-12-07
W
Muslim Salikhov
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
W
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
U-DEC · 2024-01-01
W
Wellington Turman
U-DEC · 2023-06-24
L
Jack Della Maddalena
SUB · 2023-02-11
Nicolas Dalby461 days out
L
Rinat Fakhretdinov
S-DEC · 2024-01-20
W
Gabriel Bonfim
KO/TKO · 2023-11-04
W
Muslim Salikhov
U-DEC · 2023-06-17
W
Warlley Alves
S-DEC · 2023-01-21
W
Claudio Silva
U-DEC · 2022-07-23
Why
Claude
Randy Brown
70% · Decision
  • 4-inch reach advantage with better striking accuracy (47% vs 43%)
  • Higher striking differential (+1.18 vs +0.54)
  • Superior takedown defense (70% vs 58%)
  • Younger fighter with better recent form (4-1 in last 5 vs 3-2)
Write-up

Brown's superior reach control, higher striking accuracy (47% vs 43%), and better takedown defense (70% vs 58%) suggest he can maintain distance and win striking exchanges. Recent form shows improved fight IQ and striking defense.

GPT
Randy Brown
65% · KO/TKO
  • Randy Brown's high striking volume and accuracy.
  • Nicolas Dalby's lesser striking defense.
  • Randy Brown's recent strong form and upward trend.
Write-up

Randy Brown has been on a winning streak recently with a strong upward trend in his performance. He has a significant advantage in striking and a slight advantage in grappling. Despite Nicolas Dalby's experience and higher takedown average, Brown's striking volume and defense should give him the upper hand.