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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. PratesFlyweightPrelims
Matt
Schnell
7-7UFC
VS
Jimmy
Flick
2-3UFC
Final: Matt Schnell by U-DEC
Who wins
Schnell winsevenFlick wins
Elo 55% Schnell
GPT 65% Schnell
Claude 75% Schnell
Claude
75%
Schnell
GPT
65%
Schnell
Elo
55%
Schnell
1501 vs 1469
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'8"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.39
Landed / min
1.94
4.64
Absorbed / minlower better
5.43
39%
Strike accuracy
50%
55%
Strike defense
43%
0.56
Takedowns / 15
1.55
40%
TD accuracy
21%
50%
TD defense
0%
1.0
Subs / 15
4.3
How it ends
55%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 25%Decision 55%
50%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 30%Decision 50%
Formnewest first
Matt Schnell399 days out
L
Cody Durden
SUB · 2024-03-23
L
Steve Erceg
KO/TKO · 2024-03-02
L
Matheus Nicolau
KO/TKO · 2022-12-03
W
Sumudaerji
SUB · 2022-07-16
L
Brandon Royval
SUB · 2022-05-07
Jimmy Flick461 days out
W
Malcolm Gordon
SUB · 2024-01-20
L
Nate Maness
U-DEC · 2024-01-13
L
Alessandro Costa
KO/TKO · 2023-06-17
L
Charles Johnson
KO/TKO · 2023-01-14
W
Cody Durden
SUB · 2020-12-19
Why
Claude
Matt Schnell
75% · Decision
- 2.25x higher striking volume (4.39 vs 1.94 SLPM)
- Better striking defense (55% vs 43%)
- Superior takedown defense (50% vs 0%)
- More well-rounded skill set and UFC experience
Write-up
Schnell's superior striking volume (4.39 vs 1.94 SLPM) and better defensive wrestling should neutralize Flick's submission-heavy game. Better striking defense (55% vs 43%) suggests ability to avoid danger while outpointing.
GPT
Matt Schnell
65% · Decision
- Schnell's striking volume differential of 2.45, indicating higher striking output
- Flick's negative striking differential of -3.49, indicating vulnerability to strikes
- Schnell's grappling defense of 50%, offering resistance to Flick's submission attempts
- Flick's takedown accuracy of only 21%, suggesting difficulty in implementing his ground game
Write-up
Despite a recent downward trend in performance, Matt Schnell demonstrates a significant advantage in striking volume and defense over Jimmy Flick. While Flick has shown a higher submission rate per fight, Schnell's grappling defense of 50% could potentially neutralize this threat.