Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. PratesLightweightPrelims
Evan ElderWINNER
Evan
Elder
2-2UFC
28 yrsElo 1521
VS
Gauge Young
Gauge
Young
24 yrsElo 1503*UFC debut
Final: Evan Elder by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
65%
Elder
GPT
75%
Elder
Elo
53%
Elder
1521 vs 1503
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'10" Height 5'9"
72" Reach 70"
Switch Stance Orthodox
5.66 Landed / min 6.32
4.94 Absorbed / minlower better 5.12
50% Strike accuracy 52%
57% Strike defense 49%
0.48 Takedowns / 15 0.75
15% TD accuracy 30%
40% TD defense 76%
0.5 Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Gauge Young, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 20%Claude: Decision 55%
55%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 20%Decision 55%
GPT: KO/TKO 20%GPT: Submission 50%GPT: Decision 30%
50%Submission
GPT calls Submission, Round 3
KO/TKO 20%Submission 50%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Evan Elder447 days out
W
Darrius Flowers
SUB · 2024-02-03
W
Genaro Valdez
U-DEC · 2023-07-15
L
Nazim Sadykhov
KO/TKO · 2023-02-18
L
Preston Parsons
U-DEC · 2022-04-23
Gauge Young
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Evan Elder
65% · Decision
  • Elder's +0.23 strike differential vs Young's -1.13
  • Elder's 57% strike defense vs Young's 44%
  • Elder's 3-fight win streak with improving performances
  • 2-inch reach advantage and superior stance switching ability
Write-up

Elder's superior striking accuracy (49% vs 44%) and defensive metrics combined with his recent upward momentum give him a technical edge. His switch stance versatility and 2-inch reach advantage will help control distance against Young's orthodox style. Elder's proven durability and cardio advantage shown in recent fights suggest he can maintain a higher work rate.

GPT
Evan Elder
75% · Submission
  • Evan Elder's striking volume and accuracy is significantly higher
  • Elder's defensive efficiency is superior
  • Young's negative striking differential
  • Elder's upward trend in recent form
Write-up

Evan Elder has a clear striking advantage, landing significantly more strikes per minute compared to Gauge Young. Elder also has a superior defensive efficiency and a recent upward trend in his fight form. Young's striking volume is lower and his differential is negative, indicating he absorbs more than he delivers. Despite Elder's grappling statistics being less impressive, his submission threat is still higher.