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UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. PratesWomen's BantamweightPrelims
Chelsea Chandler
Chelsea
Chandler
2-2UFC
34 yrsElo 1500
VS
Joselyne EdwardsWINNER
Joselyne
Edwards
5-4UFC
29 yrsElo 1573
Final: Joselyne Edwards by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Claude
65%
Edwards
GPT
65%
Edwards
Elo
60%
Edwards
1500 vs 1573
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'8" Height 5'8"
68" Reach 70"
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
3.52 Landed / min 4.48
4.27 Absorbed / minlower better 3.19
45% Strike accuracy 52%
40% Strike defense 49%
0.81 Takedowns / 15 1.23
60% TD accuracy 39%
25% TD defense 61%
0.3 Subs / 15 0.6
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 25%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 25%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 30%GPT: Submission 10%GPT: Decision 60%
60%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 30%Submission 10%Decision 60%
Formnewest first
Chelsea Chandler406 days out
W
Josiane Nunes
U-DEC · 2024-03-16
L
Yana Santos
U-DEC · 2024-03-02
L
Norma Dumont
U-DEC · 2023-07-15
W
Julija Stoliarenko
KO/TKO · 2022-10-01
Joselyne Edwards364 days out
W
Tamires Vidal
SUB · 2024-04-27
L
Ailin Perez
U-DEC · 2024-01-01
L
Nora Cornolle
U-DEC · 2023-09-02
W
Lucie Pudilova
S-DEC · 2023-04-15
W
Ji Yeon Kim
S-DEC · 2022-07-30
Why
Claude
Joselyne Edwards
65% · Decision
  • Edwards' +0.95 striking differential advantage and 8% better striking defense
  • Superior stance matchup with orthodox vs southpaw giving Edwards better angle creation
  • Recent submission wins showing evolved ground game (2 SUB wins in last 2 fights)
  • 2-inch reach advantage supporting outside striking gameplan
Write-up

Edwards holds significant advantages in striking volume (4.48 vs 3.53 SLPM) and accuracy (52% vs 45%), while demonstrating superior defensive metrics. Her takedown defense (61% vs 33%) should neutralize Chandler's wrestling attempts, allowing her to control distance and accumulate damage at range.

GPT
Joselyne Edwards
65% · Decision
  • Edwards' striking volume and accuracy
  • Chandler's grappling advantage neutralized by Edwards' takedown defense
  • Edwards' upward trend in recent form
  • Chandler's significant disadvantage in striking and grappling
Write-up

Joselyne Edwards has a higher striking volume and accuracy as well as better defensive metrics. While Chandler has the takedown advantage, Edwards has a superior takedown defense which could neutralize Chandler's grappling edge. Recent form also favors Edwards who is on an upward trend.