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Back
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. PratesLight HeavyweightMain card
Anthony Smith
Anthony
Smith
13-11UFC
36 yrsElo 1542
VS
Zhang MingyangWINNER
Zhang
Mingyang
2-0UFC
26 yrsElo 1516
Final: Zhang Mingyang by KO/TKO Elbows
Who wins
Claude
70%
Mingyang
GPT
65%
Mingyang
Elo
54%
Smith
1542 vs 1516
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'4" Height 6'2"
76" Reach 75"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.24 Landed / min 9.23
4.60 Absorbed / minlower better 6.39
49% Strike accuracy 57%
46% Strike defense 57%
0.46 Takedowns / 15 n/a
26% TD accuracy 0%
50% TD defense 0%
0.6 Subs / 15 n/a
Small sample: Zhang Mingyang, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 65%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 25%
65%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 65%Submission 10%Decision 25%
GPT: KO/TKO 60%GPT: Submission 5%GPT: Decision 35%
60%KO/TKO
GPT calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 60%Submission 5%Decision 35%
Formnewest first
Anthony Smith139 days out
L
Dominick Reyes
KO/TKO Punches · 2024-12-07
L
Roman Dolidze
U-DEC · 2024-01-27
W
Vitor Petrino
SUB · 2023-12-09
L
Khalil Rountree Jr.
KO/TKO · 2023-12-09
W
Ryan Spann
S-DEC · 2023-08-26
Zhang Mingyang153 days out
W
Ozzy Diaz
· 2024-11-23
W
Brendson Ribeiro
KO/TKO · 2024-02-17
Why
Claude
Zhang Mingyang
70% · KO/TKO
  • Zhang's +2.84 strike differential vs Smith's -1.36
  • Zhang's 57% striking accuracy vs Smith's 49%
  • Smith's absorption of 4.6 strikes per minute vulnerability
  • Zhang's 100% finishing rate and youth advantage
Write-up

Zhang's significant striking volume (9.23 vs 3.24 SLPM) and power advantage, combined with Smith's declining durability and negative strike differential, creates a dangerous matchup for the veteran

GPT
Zhang Mingyang
65% · KO/TKO
  • Superior striking volume and accuracy for Zhang
  • High effective strike rate for Zhang
  • Striking vulnerability for Smith
  • Mixed trend in recent form for Smith
Write-up

Zhang Mingyang possesses superior striking volume and accuracy, along with a high effective strike rate. Although Anthony Smith has an advantage in grappling, his striking vulnerability might be exploited by Zhang. Furthermore, Smith's recent form shows a mixed trend, with losses outnumbering wins.