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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. PratesMiddleweightPrelims
Ikram
Aliskerov
2-1UFC
VS
Andre
Muniz
6-2UFC
Final: Ikram Aliskerov by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Aliskerov winsevenMuniz wins
GPT 70% Muniz
Elo 50% Aliskerov
Claude 65% Aliskerov
Claude
65%
Aliskerov
GPT
70%
Muniz
Elo
50%
Aliskerov
1559 vs 1559
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'0"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
78"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
7.03
Landed / min
2.08
7.27
Absorbed / minlower better
2.46
60%
Strike accuracy
48%
36%
Strike defense
51%
1.82
Takedowns / 15
3.98
33%
TD accuracy
48%
0%
TD defense
35%
1.8
Subs / 15
1.1
How it ends
55%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 55%Submission 15%Decision 30%
50%Submission
GPT calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 20%Submission 50%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Ikram Aliskerov461 days out
L
Robert Whittaker
KO/TKO · 2024-01-20
W
Warlley Alves
KO/TKO · 2023-10-21
W
Phil Hawes
KO/TKO · 2023-05-06
Andre Muniz503 days out
W
JunYong Park
S-DEC · 2023-12-09
L
Paul Craig
KO/TKO · 2023-07-22
L
Brendan Allen
SUB · 2023-02-25
W
Uriah Hall
U-DEC · 2022-07-02
W
Eryk Anders
SUB · 2021-12-11
Why
Claude
Ikram Aliskerov
65% · KO/TKO
- 3.5x higher striking volume (7.03 vs 1.97 SLPM)
- Better striking accuracy (60% vs 50%)
- Stronger recent finishing ability
- Superior athleticism and power advantage
Write-up
Aliskerov's significantly higher striking volume (7.03 vs 1.97 SLPM) and superior striking accuracy (60% vs 50%) should overwhelm Muniz's grappling-focused approach. Muniz's defensive vulnerabilities (54% defense) create KO opportunities.
GPT
Andre Muniz
70% · Submission
- Ikram Aliskerov's high striking volume but low defensive metrics.
- Andre Muniz's higher takedown average and submission rate.
- Andre Muniz's better recent form and win rate.
Write-up
Despite Ikram Aliskerov's high striking volume, his defensive metrics are concerning, particularly his takedown defense which stands at 0%. Andre Muniz, on the other hand, has a significantly higher takedown average per fight and also a higher submission rate which could be decisive. Moreover, Muniz has a better recent form with a higher win rate.