Back
WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. PratesMiddleweightMain card
Michel
Pereira
9-3UFC
VS
Abus
Magomedov
2-2UFC
Final: Abus Magomedov by U-DEC
Who wins
Pereira winsevenMagomedov wins
GPT 75% Magomedov
Elo 52% Pereira
Claude 65% Pereira
Claude
65%
Pereira
GPT
75%
Magomedov
Elo
52%
Pereira
1553 vs 1537
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'1"
Height
6'2"
73"
Reach
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.46
Landed / min
3.06
4.23
Absorbed / minlower better
3.34
53%
Strike accuracy
48%
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.27
Takedowns / 15
2.50
52%
TD accuracy
59%
76%
TD defense
100%
0.8
Subs / 15
0.6
How it ends
45%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 45%Submission 25%Decision 30%
65%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 15%Decision 65%
Formnewest first
Michel Pereira364 days out
L
Anthony Hernandez
KO/TKO · 2024-04-27
W
Michal Oleksiejczuk
SUB · 2024-03-09
W
Ihor Potieria
SUB · 2023-12-09
W
Andre Petroski
KO/TKO · 2023-10-14
W
Santiago Ponzinibbio
S-DEC · 2022-05-21
Abus Magomedov489 days out
W
Warlley Alves
U-DEC · 2023-12-23
L
Caio Borralho
U-DEC · 2023-11-04
L
Sean Strickland
KO/TKO · 2023-07-01
W
Dustin Stoltzfus
KO/TKO · 2022-09-03
Why
Claude
Michel Pereira
65% · KO/TKO
- Pereira's +1.58 strike differential advantage and higher accuracy (53% vs 44%)
- Superior submission threat (0.8 SubAvg vs 0) provides additional offensive layer
- More active fight schedule with 39.2 vs 95.2 days between bouts indicating better rhythm
- Recent success transitioning to middleweight with 3 submission wins in last 5 fights
Write-up
Pereira's higher strike volume (4.46 vs 2.88 SLPM) and dynamic striking arsenal matches well against Magomedov's more linear approach. While Magomedov has superior takedown accuracy (77% vs 52%), Pereira's 76% TDD should keep this fight standing where his creative striking and pressure gives him the advantage.
GPT
Abus Magomedov
75% · Decision
- Magomedov's superior grappling statistics could allow him to dictate the fight on the ground.
- Pereira's weaker defense leaves him vulnerable to Magomedov's strikes.
- No significant physical advantages for either fighter.
- Magomedov's consistent performance against high-level competition.
Write-up
Michel Pereira has a higher strike rate, but his defense is weaker than Abus Magomedov's. In addition, Magomedov has a superior takedown accuracy and defense, which could enable him to control the fight on the ground. Despite Pereira's recent mixed results, Magomedov has shown consistency in his performance. The physical advantages are mixed, with no significant edge to either fighter.