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UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. SilvaMiddleweightPrelims
Zachary Reese
Zachary
Reese
2-0UFC
31 yrsElo 1543*
VS
Sedriques Dumas
Sedriques
Dumas
3-3UFC
30 yrsElo 1447
Who wins
Claude
72%
Reese
GPT
71%
Reese
Elo
63%
Reese
1543 vs 1447
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'4" Height 6'2"
77" Reach 79"
Switch Stance Orthodox
5.06 Landed / min 2.15
2.88 Absorbed / minlower better 2.03
59% Strike accuracy 48%
48% Strike defense 58%
4.08 Takedowns / 15 1.31
55% TD accuracy 35%
25% TD defense 40%
2.5 Subs / 15 0.3
Small sample: Zachary Reese, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 45%Claude: Decision 30%
45%Submission
Claude calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 25%Submission 45%Decision 30%
GPT: KO/TKO 12%GPT: Submission 58%GPT: Decision 30%
58%Submission
GPT calls Submission
KO/TKO 12%Submission 58%Decision 30%
Formnewest first
Zachary Reese546 days out
W
Jose Daniel Medina
U-DEC · 2024-03-16
W
Julian Marquez
KO/TKO · 2024-01-06
Sedriques Dumas154 days out
L
Michal Oleksiejczuk
KO/TKO Punches · 2025-04-12
L
Nursulton Ruziboev
KO/TKO · 2024-03-30
W
Denis Tiuliulin
U-DEC · 2024-02-24
W
Abu Azaitar
U-DEC · 2023-10-21
W
Cody Brundage
U-DEC · 2023-06-24
Why
Claude
Zachary Reese
72% · Submission
  • Reese averages 2.5 submissions per fight with 55% takedown accuracy vs Dumas's 40% TDD
  • Height advantage (6'4" vs 6'2") allows Reese to control distance and clinch entries
  • Dumas coming off KO loss shows vulnerability, while Reese on 4-fight win streak
  • Striking differential favors Reese (2.18 vs 0.12) creating more grappling opportunities
Write-up

Reese's aggressive grappling approach (4.08 takedowns per fight, 2.5 submissions per fight) presents significant problems for Dumas, who has shown vulnerability on the ground with only 40% takedown defense. Reese's 6'4" frame and switch stance create unpredictable angles, while his recent KO victories demonstrate improved striking to set up his grappling. Dumas's recent KO loss indicates potential durability concerns, and his lower submission defense capabilities make him susceptible to Reese's high submission output.

GPT
Zachary Reese
71% · Submission
  • Reese's high submission average and takedown success
  • Dumas's poor takedown and submission defense
  • Reese's superior offensive volume and finishing instincts
Write-up

Reese possesses a significant grappling advantage, as indicated by his much higher takedown average (4.08 per fight vs 1.31), superior takedown accuracy (55% vs 35%), and an extremely high submission rate (2.5 per fight vs 0.3). Dumas has shown vulnerability in takedown defense (40%) and is particularly susceptible to ground attacks, further compounded by Reese's aggressive submission game. While Dumas is defensively sound on the feet and absorbs fewer strikes, Reese's offensive output and pressure should create frequent grappling exchanges, where he holds a decisive edge.