Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Reese's aggressive grappling approach (4.08 takedowns per fight, 2.5 submissions per fight) presents significant problems for Dumas, who has shown vulnerability on the ground with only 40% takedown defense. Reese's 6'4" frame and switch stance create unpredictable angles, while his recent KO victories demonstrate improved striking to set up his grappling. Dumas's recent KO loss indicates potential durability concerns, and his lower submission defense capabilities make him susceptible to Reese's high submission output.

Reese possesses a significant grappling advantage, as indicated by his much higher takedown average (4.08 per fight vs 1.31), superior takedown accuracy (55% vs 35%), and an extremely high submission rate (2.5 per fight vs 0.3). Dumas has shown vulnerability in takedown defense (40%) and is particularly susceptible to ground attacks, further compounded by Reese's aggressive submission game. While Dumas is defensively sound on the feet and absorbs fewer strikes, Reese's offensive output and pressure should create frequent grappling exchanges, where he holds a decisive edge.