Middleweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
FINAL: Dusko Todorovic by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Jose Medina
Age 34 · Elo 1474*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Dusko Todorovic
Age 31 · Elo 1491
LWLWL
910 days since last fight
Who wins, by source
Jose MedinaDusko Todorovic
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Jose MedinaDusko Todorovic
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Dusko Todorovic by KO/TKO, 78% confidence
Todorovic's massive striking advantages (5.54 vs 1.6 SLPM, 57% vs 26% accuracy) combined with recent KO power make this a severe mismatch. Medina's 0% striking defense and -3.27 differential indicate extreme defensive liabilities. Todorovic's 4 finishes in 5 recent fights, with 3 KOs, align perfectly against an opponent absorbing 4.87 strikes per minute.
GPT
Dusko Todorovic by KO/TKO, 81% confidence
Dusko Todorovic holds major statistical advantages in striking volume, accuracy, and defensive efficiency. Medina's extremely low output, poor striking defense, and abysmal takedown defense (14%) make him highly vulnerable to Todorovic's aggressive and accurate offense. While Todorovic is hittable himself, Medina lacks the output or finishing ability to capitalize. Expect Todorovic to overwhelm Medina with pressure, likely finishing inside the distance.