Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Silva's superior striking volume (5.37 vs 4.2 SLPM) and defensive efficiency (57% vs 50%) create a significant advantage in this striker vs submission specialist matchup. Lopes' 72" reach gives him 3 inches, but Silva's 100% win rate with 5 consecutive KO/TKO victories shows elite finishing ability. Lopes averages 2.8 submission attempts per fight but Silva's 80% takedown defense and striking differential of +0.94 suggest he'll keep this standing where he holds clear advantages.

Jean Silva's higher striking volume, superior striking defense, and excellent takedown defense should allow him to control the pace and range of the fight. Lopes has a dangerous submission game, but Silva's 80% takedown defense and zero submissions allowed indicate he can likely keep the fight standing, where he has a significant statistical edge.