Rob Font vs David Martinez

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Font's significant experience advantage (19 UFC fights vs Martinez's debut) combined with his 5-inch reach advantage creates a clear path to victory. Font's recent form shows 3-2 in last 5 with quality opposition, while Martinez lacks any UFC-level data. Font's balanced striking (5.44 SLPM) and improved takedown game (0.84 per fight) against Martinez's pure striking approach (0 takedowns attempted) gives Font multiple paths to control. Martinez's 66% striking defense is impressive but untested at this level.

Martinez holds statistical advantages in striking accuracy, defensive metrics, and takedown defense. Font's volume is slightly higher, but his takedown threat is minimal and his takedown accuracy is low versus Martinez's perfect takedown defense. Martinez absorbs fewer strikes per minute and has a superior strike differential, suggesting he will edge the striking exchanges and avoid significant damage or grappling disadvantages.