Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko
Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
This UFC debut matchup between two prospects lacks statistical data, making it a coin flip. Donchenko gets the slight edge due to his younger age (24 vs 27) suggesting potentially better athleticism and recovery. Both fighters share orthodox stances, making this a technical mirror match. The lack of UFC experience data means regional MMA records and training camps will be crucial factors not reflected in these stats.
With no UFC statistical data for either fighter, the analysis is based entirely on stylistic factors and presumed parity. Both fighters have balanced styles and no clear physical advantage, suggesting a competitive, closely contested fight likely to go the distance. In such debut or data-absent matchups, the slight edge is given to Sezinando due to presumed marginal athleticism and the possibility of a marginally superior skill set.