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UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. SilvaWomen's StrawweightPrelims
Tatiana SuarezWINNER
Tatiana
Suarez
7-1UFC
34 yrsElo 1641
VS
Amanda Lemos
Amanda
Lemos
9-4UFC
38 yrsElo 1565
Final: Tatiana Suarez by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
78%
Suarez
GPT
80%
Suarez
Elo
61%
Suarez
1641 vs 1565
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'5" Height 5'4"
66" Reach 65"
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
4.27 Landed / min 2.84
1.38 Absorbed / minlower better 3.22
63% Strike accuracy 55%
51% Strike defense 44%
6.20 Takedowns / 15 0.93
61% TD accuracy 57%
100% TD defense 63%
0.9 Subs / 15 0.7
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 65%Claude: Decision 20%
65%Submission
Claude calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 15%Submission 65%Decision 20%
GPT: KO/TKO 10%GPT: Submission 55%GPT: Decision 35%
55%Submission
GPT calls Submission
KO/TKO 10%Submission 55%Decision 35%
Formnewest first
Tatiana Suarez216 days out
L
Zhang Weili
U-DEC · 2025-02-08
W
Jessica Andrade
SUB · 2023-08-05
W
Montana De La Rosa
SUB · 2023-02-25
W
Nina Nunes
U-DEC · 2019-06-08
W
Carla Esparza
KO/TKO · 2018-09-08
Amanda Lemos188 days out
W
Iasmin Lucindo
U-DEC · 2025-03-08
W
Mackenzie Dern
U-DEC · 2024-02-17
L
Virna Jandiroba
SUB · 2024-02-10
L
Zhang Weili
U-DEC · 2023-08-19
W
Marina Rodriguez
KO/TKO · 2022-11-05
Why
Claude
Tatiana Suarez
78% · Submission
  • Suarez averages 6.2 takedowns per fight vs Lemos' 61% takedown defense
  • Perfect 100% takedown defense vs Lemos' minimal offensive wrestling (0.9 TD/fight)
  • Common opponent Jessica Andrade: Suarez won by SUB, Lemos lost by SUB
  • Suarez's 3 submission wins in last 5 fights vs Lemos' 2 submission losses
Write-up

Suarez's elite wrestling (6.2 takedowns per fight at 61% accuracy) combined with her perfect takedown defense (100%) creates a nightmare matchup for Lemos. The common opponent analysis shows Suarez submitted Jessica Andrade while Lemos lost to her by submission, indicating a clear grappling hierarchy. Suarez's undefeated record and 60% submission finish rate, coupled with Lemos' vulnerability to grapplers (lost 2 of last 5 by submission), makes this a dominant stylistic advantage.

GPT
Tatiana Suarez
80% · Submission
  • Suarez's elite wrestling volume and accuracy
  • Lemos's low takedown defense and negative strike differential
  • Superior performance by Suarez against common opponents
Write-up

Suarez holds a significant grappling edge, averaging 6.2 takedowns per fight with 61% accuracy and perfect takedown defense, while Lemos struggles to defend takedowns (61% TDDef). Suarez's striking is more accurate and defensively sound, and she has performed better against common opponents. Lemos is dangerous on the feet but has a negative strike differential and is vulnerable to pressure wrestlers.