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Montse Rendon vs Alice Pereira

Women's Bantamweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva

FINAL: Montse Rendon by S-DEC
Montse Rendon
Montse Rendon
Age 36 · Elo 1520*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Alice Pereira
Alice Pereira
Age 19 · Elo 1480*
No UFC fights on record

Who wins, by source

Montse RendonAlice Pereira
Claude Claude: Montse Rendon 65% Claude: Alice Pereira 35% 65% 35% GPT GPT: Montse Rendon 75% GPT: Alice Pereira 25% 75% 25% Elo Elo: Montse Rendon 56% Elo: Alice Pereira 44% 56% 44%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Montse RendonAlice Pereira
Strikes landed / min Montse Rendon Strikes landed / min: 3.13 3.13 Alice Pereira Strikes landed / min: no data - Strikes absorbed / min Montse Rendon Strikes absorbed / min: 3.90 3.90 Alice Pereira Strikes absorbed / min: no data - Striking accuracy Montse Rendon Striking accuracy: 28% 28% Alice Pereira Striking accuracy: 0% 0% Striking defense Montse Rendon Striking defense: 54% 54% Alice Pereira Striking defense: 0% 0% Takedowns / 15 min Montse Rendon Takedowns / 15 min: 3.00 3.00 Alice Pereira Takedowns / 15 min: no data - Takedown defense Montse Rendon Takedown defense: 100% 100% Alice Pereira Takedown defense: 0% 0%

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 15% 15% Claude: Submission 20% 20% Claude: Decision 65% 65%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 10% 10% GPT: Submission 15% 15% GPT: Decision 75% 75%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Montse Rendon by Decision, 65% confidence

Both fighters are making their UFC debuts, but Rendon shows more complete statistics including a 100% takedown defense and 54% takedown accuracy. The 16-year age difference (36 vs 19) suggests Rendon has significantly more overall MMA experience. Rendon's wrestling-heavy approach (3 takedowns per fight average) should control the inexperienced Pereira, who has no recorded grappling defense statistics. The fight likely goes to decision as both lack UFC-level finishing experience.

GPT
Montse Rendon by Decision, 75% confidence

Montse Rendon has significant statistical advantages with proven UFC-level grappling and striking output, while Alice Pereira has no measurable UFC data. Rendon's takedown accuracy and defense suggest control, and her work rate is likely to edge rounds against an unknown quantity.