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UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. SilvaFlyweightPrelims
Alessandro Costa
Alessandro
Costa
2-2UFC
29 yrsElo 1485
VS
Alden CoriaWINNER
Alden
Coria
27 yrsElo 1514*UFC debut
Final: Alden Coria by KO/TKO Punches
Who wins
Claude
78%
Costa
GPT
78%
Costa
Elo
54%
Coria
1485 vs 1514
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'4" Height n/a
67" Reach n/a
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.77 Landed / min n/a
3.71 Absorbed / minlower better n/a
46% Strike accuracy 0%
57% Strike defense 0%
0.70 Takedowns / 15 n/a
26% TD accuracy 0%
87% TD defense 0%
0.7 Subs / 15 n/a
Small sample: Alden Coria, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 55%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 35%
55%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 1
KO/TKO 55%Submission 10%Decision 35%
GPT: KO/TKO 18%GPT: Submission 7%GPT: Decision 75%
75%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 18%Submission 7%Decision 75%
Formnewest first
Alessandro Costa643 days out
W
Kevin Borjas
KO/TKO · 2023-12-09
L
Steve Erceg
U-DEC · 2023-11-11
W
Jimmy Flick
KO/TKO · 2023-06-17
L
Amir Albazi
KO/TKO · 2022-12-17
Alden Coria
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Alessandro Costa
78% · KO/TKO
  • Costa has 3 KO/TKO wins in last 5 fights showing consistent finishing power
  • Coria making UFC debut with no recorded statistics or UFC experience
  • Costa's 90% takedown defense eliminates potential grappling threats
  • Significant experience gap with Costa having multiple UFC fights vs Coria's debut
Write-up

Costa faces a UFC debutant in Coria who has no recorded statistics in the UFC database. Costa's recent form shows 3 KO/TKO finishes in his last 5 fights, demonstrating legitimate power at flyweight. His 90% takedown defense will likely neutralize any wrestling attempts from the inexperienced Coria. Costa's 4.14 strikes landed per minute with proven finishing ability against UFC-level competition makes this a significant mismatch against an untested opponent.

GPT
Alessandro Costa
78% · Decision
  • Major UFC experience and proven competition level for Costa
  • Significant statistical edge in striking accuracy and defense (47% acc, 57% def)
  • Elite 90% takedown defense limits opponent's grappling threats
Write-up

Costa has significant UFC experience and statistical advantages in striking and defensive grappling. Coria is making his UFC debut with no available high-level metrics, suggesting a large gap in proven ability and competition level. Costa's striking accuracy, output, and takedown defense should allow him to control the pace and range, minimizing Coria's potential for a finish.