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UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. TeixeiraFeatherweightMain card
Nate Landwehr
Nate
Landwehr
5-4UFC
37 yrsElo 1483
VS
Morgan CharriereWINNER
Morgan
Charriere
2-2UFC
29 yrsElo 1512
Final: Morgan Charriere by KO/TKO Punch
Who wins
Claude
62%
Landwehr
GPT
65%
Charriere
Elo
54%
Charriere
1483 vs 1512
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9" Height 5'8"
72" Reach 69"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
5.55 Landed / min 4.02
5.96 Absorbed / minlower better 4.51
45% Strike accuracy 50%
51% Strike defense 53%
0.73 Takedowns / 15 2.06
41% TD accuracy 46%
71% TD defense 83%
0.7 Subs / 15 0.3
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 15%Claude: Decision 60%
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 15%Decision 60%
GPT: KO/TKO 25%GPT: Submission 20%GPT: Decision 55%
55%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 20%Decision 55%
Formnewest first
Nate Landwehr216 days out
L
Dooho Choi
KO/TKO Elbows · 2024-12-07
W
Jamall Emmers
KO/TKO · 2024-03-30
L
Dan Ige
U-DEC · 2023-06-10
W
Austin Lingo
SUB · 2023-03-25
W
David Onama
M-DEC · 2022-08-13
Morgan Charriere112 days out
L
Nathaniel Wood
U-DEC · 2025-03-22
L
Chepe Mariscal
S-DEC · 2024-04-06
W
Gabriel Miranda
KO/TKO · 2024-04-06
W
Manolo Zecchini
KO/TKO · 2023-09-02
Why
Claude
Nate Landwehr
62% · Decision
  • Landwehr's significant volume advantage (6.25 SLPM vs 3.87) will accumulate damage over three rounds
  • Landwehr's 86% takedown defense neutralizes Charriere's grappling advantage
  • 3-inch reach advantage allows Landwehr to control distance and implement his high-volume striking
  • Landwehr's proven durability and cardio will be crucial in a fight likely to maintain a high pace
Write-up

Landwehr's significantly higher striking volume (6.25 SLPM vs Charriere's 3.87) will be the determining factor in this matchup. While both fighters have similar defensive metrics, Landwehr's ability to overwhelm opponents with pressure and output should allow him to edge rounds on the scorecards. Charriere possesses superior takedown accuracy (57% vs 41%) and averages more takedowns per fight (2.47 vs 1.00), but Landwehr's 86% takedown defense should neutralize this advantage. Landwehr's recent KO win shows his striking power is still intact, while his submission victories demonstrate his opportunistic finishing ability. The 3-inch reach advantage for Landwehr will be crucial in maintaining his preferred striking range.

GPT
Morgan Charriere
65% · Decision
  • Higher striking accuracy
  • Higher takedown accuracy
  • Higher win rate
Write-up

Morgan Charriere has a higher striking accuracy and takedown accuracy which can be a game changer in this fight. Moreover, he has a higher win rate which signifies his ability to perform under pressure.