Nate Landwehr vs Morgan Charriere

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Landwehr's significantly higher striking volume (6.25 SLPM vs Charriere's 3.87) will be the determining factor in this matchup. While both fighters have similar defensive metrics, Landwehr's ability to overwhelm opponents with pressure and output should allow him to edge rounds on the scorecards. Charriere possesses superior takedown accuracy (57% vs 41%) and averages more takedowns per fight (2.47 vs 1.00), but Landwehr's 86% takedown defense should neutralize this advantage. Landwehr's recent KO win shows his striking power is still intact, while his submission victories demonstrate his opportunistic finishing ability. The 3-inch reach advantage for Landwehr will be crucial in maintaining his preferred striking range.

Morgan Charriere has a higher striking accuracy and takedown accuracy which can be a game changer in this fight. Moreover, he has a higher win rate which signifies his ability to perform under pressure.