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Mitch Ramirez vs Mike Davis

Lightweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira

FINAL: Mike Davis by KO/TKO Punches
Mitch Ramirez
Mitch Ramirez
Age 32 · Elo 1459*
L
483 days since last fight
vs
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
Age 32 · Elo 1565
LWWWW
160 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Mitch RamirezMike Davis
Claude Claude: Mitch Ramirez 18% Claude: Mike Davis 82% 18% 82% GPT GPT: Mitch Ramirez 25% GPT: Mike Davis 75% 25% 75% Elo Elo: Mitch Ramirez 35% Elo: Mike Davis 65% 35% 65%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Mitch RamirezMike Davis
Strikes landed / min Mitch Ramirez Strikes landed / min: 2.37 2.37 Mike Davis Strikes landed / min: 5.35 5.35 Strikes absorbed / min Mitch Ramirez Strikes absorbed / min: 3.34 3.34 Mike Davis Strikes absorbed / min: 5.76 5.76 Striking accuracy Mitch Ramirez Striking accuracy: 42% 42% Mike Davis Striking accuracy: 52% 52% Striking defense Mitch Ramirez Striking defense: 36% 36% Mike Davis Striking defense: 55% 55% Takedowns / 15 min Mitch Ramirez Takedowns / 15 min: 0.91 0.91 Mike Davis Takedowns / 15 min: 2.77 2.77 Takedown defense Mitch Ramirez Takedown defense: 0% 0% Mike Davis Takedown defense: 64% 64% Sub attempts / 15 min Mitch Ramirez Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0 Mike Davis Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.4 0.4

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 65% 65% Claude: Submission 20% 20% Claude: Decision 15% 15%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 70% 70% GPT: Submission 20% 20% GPT: Decision 10% 10%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Mike Davis by KO/TKO, 82% confidence

Davis holds significant advantages across all key metrics. His striking volume (5.35 SLPM vs Ramirez's 2.37) gives him a massive output edge, while his grappling superiority (2.77 TDAvg vs 0.91) allows him to dictate where the fight takes place. Ramirez's 0% TDD is particularly concerning against Davis who has shown improved submission skills (0.4 SubAvg) in recent fights. Davis is riding a 4-fight win streak with increasing finishing capabilities, while Ramirez is coming off a KO loss. Davis's technical striking improvements shown in his March 2024 win demonstrate his continued evolution, while Ramirez's defensive vulnerabilities (36% StrDef) make him highly susceptible to Davis's high-volume approach.

GPT
Mike Davis by KO/TKO, 75% confidence

Mike Davis has a higher strike volume and accuracy, better defensive efficiency and a greater takedown average. Furthermore, Mitch Ramirez's takedown defense is poor, which could be exploited by Davis.