Jake Matthews vs Chidi Njokuani

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Njokuani holds significant striking advantages that should prove decisive in this matchup. His superior striking accuracy (63% vs Matthews' 44%) combined with higher volume (4.59 SLPM vs 3.38) gives him a clear edge in the standup exchanges. While Matthews has shown decent takedown ability (1.56 per fight), Njokuani's 74% takedown defense should allow him to keep the fight standing where he excels. Njokuani's recent drop to welterweight has revitalized his career with three straight wins, showing improved cardio and power retention. Matthews will likely find success in brief grappling exchanges, but Njokuani's 7-inch reach advantage and superior striking differential (+1.92 vs +0.84) will allow him to control distance and accumulate damage over three rounds.

Chidi Njokuani has a superior strike rate and defensive efficiency compared to Jake Matthews. He also holds a physical advantage in terms of height and reach, which could play a significant role in the fight. Although Matthews has a higher takedown average, Njokuani's takedown defense is solid, making it challenging for Matthews to control the fight on the ground.