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Seokhyeon Ko vs Oban Elliott

Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

FINAL: Seokhyeon Ko by U-DEC
Seokhyeon Ko
Seokhyeon Ko
Age 31 · Elo 1542*
No UFC fights on record
vs
Oban Elliott
Oban Elliott
Age 27 · Elo 1473
LWW
216 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Seokhyeon KoOban Elliott
Claude Claude: Seokhyeon Ko 25% Claude: Oban Elliott 75% 25% 75% GPT GPT: Seokhyeon Ko 35% GPT: Oban Elliott 65% 35% 65% Elo Elo: Seokhyeon Ko 60% Elo: Oban Elliott 40% 60% 40%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Seokhyeon KoOban Elliott
Strikes landed / min Seokhyeon Ko Strikes landed / min: 3.60 3.60 Oban Elliott Strikes landed / min: 3.82 3.82 Strikes absorbed / min Seokhyeon Ko Strikes absorbed / min: 3.33 3.33 Oban Elliott Strikes absorbed / min: 2.24 2.24 Striking accuracy Seokhyeon Ko Striking accuracy: 51% 51% Oban Elliott Striking accuracy: 47% 47% Striking defense Seokhyeon Ko Striking defense: 57% 57% Oban Elliott Striking defense: 61% 61% Takedowns / 15 min Seokhyeon Ko Takedowns / 15 min: 2.00 2.00 Oban Elliott Takedowns / 15 min: 2.67 2.67 Takedown defense Seokhyeon Ko Takedown defense: 50% 50% Oban Elliott Takedown defense: 72% 72% Sub attempts / 15 min Seokhyeon Ko Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0 Oban Elliott Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 20% 20% Claude: Submission 15% 15% Claude: Decision 65% 65%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 20% 20% GPT: Submission 10% 10% GPT: Decision 70% 70%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Oban Elliott by Decision, 75% confidence

Elliott holds multiple statistical advantages that should translate to a clear victory. His striking differential (+1.58) significantly outperforms Ko's (+0.27), demonstrating superior offensive efficiency while absorbing fewer strikes. Elliott's grappling metrics are superior across the board with better takedown accuracy (50% vs 33%), takedown defense (72% vs 50%), and takedown volume (2.67 vs 2.0 per fight). Physically, Elliott has height and reach advantages (6'0"/72" vs 5'10"/71"). Elliott's recent form shows consistency with 3 consecutive decision wins before his most recent loss, indicating strong cardio and fight IQ. The southpaw vs orthodox matchup slightly favors Elliott, who has more UFC experience and has shown the ability to implement effective gameplans against varied opponents.

GPT
Oban Elliott by Decision, 65% confidence

Oban Elliott has a higher strike rate, better defensive efficiency, and superior takedown accuracy and defense. Although both fighters show similar styles, Elliott's statistical advantage in key areas suggests a higher probability of winning.