Seokhyeon Ko vs Oban Elliott
Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Elliott holds multiple statistical advantages that should translate to a clear victory. His striking differential (+1.58) significantly outperforms Ko's (+0.27), demonstrating superior offensive efficiency while absorbing fewer strikes. Elliott's grappling metrics are superior across the board with better takedown accuracy (50% vs 33%), takedown defense (72% vs 50%), and takedown volume (2.67 vs 2.0 per fight). Physically, Elliott has height and reach advantages (6'0"/72" vs 5'10"/71"). Elliott's recent form shows consistency with 3 consecutive decision wins before his most recent loss, indicating strong cardio and fight IQ. The southpaw vs orthodox matchup slightly favors Elliott, who has more UFC experience and has shown the ability to implement effective gameplans against varied opponents.
Oban Elliott has a higher strike rate, better defensive efficiency, and superior takedown accuracy and defense. Although both fighters show similar styles, Elliott's statistical advantage in key areas suggests a higher probability of winning.