Nazim Sadykhov vs Nikolas Motta

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Sadykhov holds significant advantages in this matchup despite both being strikers. His southpaw stance creates problematic angles for the orthodox Motta, who has shown defensive vulnerabilities with a 51% strike defense. Sadykhov's higher volume striking (4.94 SLPM vs Motta's 3.08) combined with his superior takedown accuracy (62% vs 0%) gives him multiple paths to victory. Motta's recent form has been inconsistent (2-3 in last 5), while Sadykhov is riding a perfect 3-0 UFC start with finishes in 2 of those fights. Motta's tendency to absorb strikes (4.78 per minute) creates openings for Sadykhov's power shots, particularly as the fight progresses into the second round when Motta's defense typically deteriorates.

Sadykhov has a higher striking volume, superior takedown accuracy, and better takedown defense. Despite Motta having a slightly better strike defense, his striking accuracy and volume are lower. The lack of takedown ability could also be detrimental against Sadykhov's strong takedown defense.