Jamahal Hill vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
Light Heavyweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Who wins, by source
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Hill's superior striking accuracy (54% vs 38%) and significant strike differential (+3.67 vs -0.78) give him a clear technical edge in this matchup. Both fighters are southpaws with knockout power, but Hill's more efficient striking and 3-inch reach advantage will allow him to control distance more effectively. While both fighters are coming off losses to Alex Pereira, Hill has shown better defensive wrestling (73% TDD vs 58%) which will help keep the fight standing where he excels. Rountree's tendency to absorb significant strikes (4.51 per minute) makes him vulnerable against Hill's high-volume striking approach (7.18 strikes per minute).
Jamahal Hill has a significantly higher striking volume (SLPM) and striking accuracy than Khalil Rountree Jr. Although both fighters have similar striking styles, Hill's superior defensive efficiency and takedown defense also gives him an edge in this matchup.