Rafael Fiziev vs Ignacio Bahamondes

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Bahamondes enters this fight with significant physical advantages (7-inch height and 4-inch reach) that will be crucial against Fiziev's pressure-heavy style. Bahamondes' striking volume (7.17 vs Fiziev's 4.9) and defensive metrics (57% vs 49%) give him a statistical edge in a matchup likely to remain standing. Fiziev is on a two-fight losing streak with his last bout ending in a KO loss, while Bahamondes carries positive momentum with three consecutive wins. Both fighters have excellent takedown defense (Fiziev 89%, Bahamondes 85%), suggesting this will primarily be a striking battle where Bahamondes' length and volume should prevail over three rounds.

Bahamondes has the striking volume advantage with an SLPM of 7.17 compared to Fiziev's 4.9. Despite Fiziev's higher takedown accuracy, Bahamondes has a strong takedown defense of 85%. Also, Bahamondes has the physical advantage with a reach and height advantage.