Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Mohammed Usman

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Abdelwahab presents a more efficient striking profile with a +0.74 differential compared to Usman's -1.0, suggesting he'll be more effective in exchanges. His 75% takedown accuracy versus Usman's 17% indicates a significant advantage in phase transitions, though Usman's 60% takedown defense could mitigate some of this threat. Abdelwahab's southpaw stance against Usman's orthodox creates an interesting dynamic that favors the more accurate striker. While Usman has a 7-inch reach advantage, his poor 36% striking accuracy compared to Abdelwahab's 52% suggests he struggles to utilize this length effectively. Usman's recent form shows three consecutive losses, indicating declining confidence and performance trends.

Hamdy Abdelwahab has a higher striking accuracy, volume, and significant striking differential compared to Mohammed Usman. Furthermore, Abdelwahab's takedown accuracy is significantly higher than Usman's, indicating a strong grappling game that could control the fight's pace and location.