Daria Zhelezniakova vs Melissa Mullins

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Zhelezniakova holds significant statistical advantages in striking efficiency with a positive differential (+1.59) compared to Mullins' negative differential (-0.91). Her superior striking defense (79% vs Mullins' 47%) is particularly telling. While both fighters have mixed recent results, Zhelezniakova's defensive prowess should allow her to control distance and accumulate points. Mullins' vulnerability to strikes (absorbing 3.64 significant strikes per minute) creates a clear path for Zhelezniakova to outpoint her over three rounds. The one concern for Zhelezniakova is her 50% takedown defense, but Mullins' poor 20% takedown accuracy mitigates this risk.

Zhelezniakova's higher strike accuracy and defense as well as her takedown accuracy give her an edge in this fight.