Curtis Blaydes vs Rizvan Kuniev

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Despite Kuniev's impressive statistical profile, his UFC experience is limited compared to Blaydes' extensive high-level competition. Blaydes' wrestling pedigree (5.69 takedowns per fight) will test Kuniev's perfect but unproven 100% takedown defense at the UFC level. While Kuniev shows better striking accuracy (72% vs 50%), Blaydes' experience against elite heavyweights and his 4-inch reach advantage will be significant factors. Blaydes is coming off a bounce-back KO win after previous losses, suggesting renewed focus. His combination of wrestling threat and improved striking should allow him to control the pace and positioning throughout the fight, likely grinding out a decision victory through superior positional control and veteran savvy.

Kuniev has a significant striking advantage in terms of both accuracy and volume, which could give him the upper hand in this matchup. His takedown defense is also superior, which could neutralize Blaydes' grappling strategy.