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Phil Rowe vs Seokhyeon Ko

Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama

FINAL: Seokhyeon Ko by U-DEC
Phil Rowe
Phil Rowe
Age 35 · Elo 1513
WLLWW
140 days since last fight
vs
Seokhyeon Ko
Seokhyeon Ko
Age 32 · Elo 1542*
W
133 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Phil RoweSeokhyeon Ko
Claude Claude: Phil Rowe 68% Claude: Seokhyeon Ko 32% 68% 32% GPT GPT: Phil Rowe 35% GPT: Seokhyeon Ko 65% 35% 65% Elo Elo: Phil Rowe 46% Elo: Seokhyeon Ko 54% 46% 54%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Phil RoweSeokhyeon Ko
Strikes landed / min Phil Rowe Strikes landed / min: 3.65 3.65 Seokhyeon Ko Strikes landed / min: 3.60 3.60 Strikes absorbed / min Phil Rowe Strikes absorbed / min: 4.34 4.34 Seokhyeon Ko Strikes absorbed / min: 3.33 3.33 Striking accuracy Phil Rowe Striking accuracy: 49% 49% Seokhyeon Ko Striking accuracy: 51% 51% Striking defense Phil Rowe Striking defense: 55% 55% Seokhyeon Ko Striking defense: 57% 57% Takedowns / 15 min Phil Rowe Takedowns / 15 min: 0.70 0.70 Seokhyeon Ko Takedowns / 15 min: 2.00 2.00 Takedown defense Phil Rowe Takedown defense: 56% 56% Seokhyeon Ko Takedown defense: 50% 50% Sub attempts / 15 min Phil Rowe Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.3 0.3 Seokhyeon Ko Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 55% 55% Claude: Submission 10% 10% Claude: Decision 35% 35%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 7% GPT: Decision 75% 75%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Phil Rowe by KO/TKO, 68% confidence

Rowe's massive 9-inch reach advantage at 80" creates a striking range where Ko simply cannot compete effectively. Despite Rowe's recent 3-fight skid, his 2 KO finishes show legitimate power at distance. Ko's UFC debut status and limited data suggest vulnerability to experienced strikers. The orthodox vs southpaw dynamic favors Rowe's straight right hand finding Ko's open side.

GPT
Seokhyeon Ko by Decision, 65% confidence

Ko's superior striking defense (57% vs 55%), better striking differential (+0.27 vs -0.69), and significantly higher takedown output (2.0 per fight vs 0.7) should allow him to control the pace and score points, especially given Rowe's average takedown defense (56%). Rowe's 9-inch reach advantage is notable, but his negative strike differential and susceptibility to being out-landed suggest Ko's pressure and volume can overcome the reach gap over three rounds.