Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Ketlen VieiraNorma Dumont
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Norma Dumont by Decision, 65% confidence
Dumont's superior form (5-fight win streak), better striking defense (65% vs 51%), and positive striking differential (+1.7 vs -0.98) indicate control of standup exchanges. Common opponent analysis heavily favors Dumont - she defeated Irene Aldana while Vieira lost by KO. Dumont's successful weight cut from featherweight adds strength advantages. Her 81.8% win rate demonstrates consistency against Vieira's recent 2-3 record.
GPT
Norma Dumont by Decision, 75% confidence
Norma Dumont holds clear statistical edges in striking volume, accuracy, and defense while also being more effective in the grappling exchanges and having better performances against common opponents. Vieira struggles with striking differential and absorbs more strikes than she lands, which will likely be exploited over three rounds.