Back
WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. OnamaWelterweightMain card
Jeremiah
Wells
4-2UFC
VS
Themba
Gorimbo
4-2UFC
Final: Jeremiah Wells by U-DEC
Who wins
Wells winsevenGorimbo wins
Claude 74% Gorimbo
GPT 71% Gorimbo
Elo 56% Wells
Claude
74%
Gorimbo
GPT
71%
Gorimbo
Elo
56%
Wells
1578 vs 1533
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
77"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
2.35
Landed / min
3.11
1.28
Absorbed / minlower better
1.07
46%
Strike accuracy
61%
48%
Strike defense
56%
3.06
Takedowns / 15
4.89
46%
TD accuracy
65%
50%
TD defense
82%
1.3
Subs / 15
0.6
How it ends
55%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 25%Decision 55%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 11%Submission 19%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Jeremiah Wells629 days out
L
Max Griffin
S-DEC · 2024-02-10
L
Carlston Harris
SUB · 2023-08-05
W
Matthew Semelsberger
S-DEC · 2023-04-22
W
Court McGee
KO/TKO · 2022-06-18
W
Blood Diamond
SUB · 2022-02-12
Themba Gorimbo328 days out
L
Vicente Luque
SUB Anaconda Choke · 2024-12-07
W
Niko Price
U-DEC · 2024-04-27
W
Pete Rodriguez
KO/TKO · 2024-02-03
W
Ramiz Brahimaj
U-DEC · 2023-12-23
W
Takashi Sato
U-DEC · 2023-05-20
Why
Claude
Themba Gorimbo
74% · Decision
- Gorimbo averages 5.8 takedowns per fight with 50% accuracy
- Wells' 60% takedown defense is vulnerable to high-volume wrestlers
- Gorimbo's 8-inch reach advantage at 76" vs 68"
- Momentum - Gorimbo on 2-fight win streak vs Wells' inconsistency
Write-up
Gorimbo's wrestling dominance and improving striking will control this fight. Wells struggles against grapplers and Gorimbo's 5.8 takedowns per 15 minutes will exploit this weakness. Gorimbo's cardio and pace will wear down Wells over three rounds.
GPT
Themba Gorimbo
71% · Decision
- Striking accuracy and defensive edge for Gorimbo (61% accuracy, 56% defense vs. Wells' 43% and 48%)
- Superior takedown game (4.89 TDAvg at 65% vs. Wells' 3.08 at 44%)
- Physical advantages (reach, height) and stronger win rate
Write-up
Gorimbo holds clear statistical advantages in striking accuracy, defensive metrics, and takedown efficiency, while also boasting superior volume and physical attributes (reach, height). Wells is durable and defensively sound, but Gorimbo's output, grappling control, and ability to dictate range make him the statistically safer pick, especially over three rounds.