Featherweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
FINAL: Yadier del Valle by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Isaac Dulgarian
Age 29 · Elo 1500*
WLW
588 days since last fight
vs
Yadier del Valle
Age 29 · Elo 1506*
No UFC fights on record
Who wins, by source
Isaac DulgarianYadier del Valle
Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.
Tale of the tape
Isaac DulgarianYadier del Valle
Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.
How it ends
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.
The analysis
Claude
Yadier del Valle by Decision, 65% confidence
Del Valle's superior striking volume (7.49 vs 3.37 SLPM) and accuracy (67% vs 64%) will overwhelm Dulgarian. While Dulgarian has better grappling stats, del Valle's 66% takedown defense and southpaw stance will create problems. Del Valle's striking differential of +4.03 is significantly better than Dulgarian's +1.55.
GPT
Yadier del Valle by Decision, 67% confidence
Yadier del Valle's significantly higher striking output (7.49 SLpM vs. 3.37), superior striking accuracy (67% vs. 64%), and better striking defense (52% vs. 41%) suggest he can control the fight at range. His takedown defense (66%) is likely sufficient to limit Dulgarian's wrestling (5.15 TD avg), and his own grappling is strong enough (2.51 TD avg, 1.7 sub avg) to threaten in scrambles. Both fighters are finish-oriented, but del Valle's output and defense give him the edge over three rounds.