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Charles Radtke vs Daniel Frunza

Welterweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama

FINAL: Charles Radtke by SUB Rear Naked Choke
Charles Radtke
Charles Radtke
Age 35 · Elo 1508
LLWLW
175 days since last fight
vs
Daniel Frunza
Daniel Frunza
Age 31 · Elo 1448*
L
210 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Charles RadtkeDaniel Frunza
Claude Claude: Charles Radtke 62% Claude: Daniel Frunza 38% 62% 38% GPT GPT: Charles Radtke 67% GPT: Daniel Frunza 33% 67% 33% Elo Elo: Charles Radtke 59% Elo: Daniel Frunza 41% 59% 41%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Charles RadtkeDaniel Frunza
Strikes landed / min Charles Radtke Strikes landed / min: 3.38 3.38 Daniel Frunza Strikes landed / min: 3.25 3.25 Strikes absorbed / min Charles Radtke Strikes absorbed / min: 3.03 3.03 Daniel Frunza Strikes absorbed / min: 4.32 4.32 Striking accuracy Charles Radtke Striking accuracy: 53% 53% Daniel Frunza Striking accuracy: 38% 38% Striking defense Charles Radtke Striking defense: 56% 56% Daniel Frunza Striking defense: 50% 50% Takedowns / 15 min Charles Radtke Takedowns / 15 min: 0.59 0.59 Daniel Frunza Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Takedown defense Charles Radtke Takedown defense: 100% 100% Daniel Frunza Takedown defense: 50% 50% Sub attempts / 15 min Charles Radtke Sub attempts / 15 min: no data - Daniel Frunza Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 28% 28% Claude: Submission 8% 8% Claude: Decision 64% 64%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 5% GPT: Decision 77% 77%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Charles Radtke by Decision, 62% confidence

Radtke's superior striking accuracy (53% vs 44%) and defensive wrestling (100% TDD) should neutralize Frunza's volume-heavy approach. While Frunza throws more (4.94 SLPM vs 3.38), his poor accuracy and worse defense (51% vs 56%) create openings for Radtke's more measured counter-striking. Radtke's recent KO win shows improved finishing ability, though his chin remains suspect after back-to-back KO losses.

GPT
Charles Radtke by Decision, 67% confidence

Radtke's superior striking accuracy (53% vs 44%), lower strikes absorbed per minute, and perfect takedown defense give him a technical edge over Frunza, who allows more damage than he delivers and has a negative strike differential. Frunza's higher output is offset by poorer defensive metrics and lack of grappling offense.