Timmy Cuamba vs ChangHo Lee

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Lee's superior striking accuracy (70% vs 40%) and positive striking differential (+2.25 vs -1.38) give him a clear technical edge. Cuamba is on a 3-fight losing streak and has shown vulnerability to consistent pressure. Lee's wrestling game (3.24 takedowns per fight) will be crucial against Cuamba's 71% takedown defense. The significant weight cut issues for Cuamba (fighting at lightweight then dropping to bantamweight) suggest potential cardio concerns.

ChangHo Lee demonstrates superior striking output and accuracy, with significant advantages in both SLPM (4.9 vs 3.0) and striking accuracy (70% vs 40%). He also lands far more takedowns per fight (3.24 vs 1.0), which can exploit Cuamba's modest takedown defense. While Lee's defensive numbers are a concern (only 37% striking defense, 38% takedown defense), Cuamba's negative strike differential (-1.38) and lower offensive metrics make it unlikely he can capitalize enough to offset Lee's volume and control. Both fighters lack finishing rates, making a decision outcome most probable.