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Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Ante Delija

Heavyweight · Main card · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama

Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Age 34 · Elo 1564
WWWLW
657 days since last fight
vs
Ante Delija
Ante Delija
Age 35 · Elo 1512*
W
56 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Waldo Cortes-AcostaAnte Delija
Claude Claude: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 72% Claude: Ante Delija 28% 72% 28% GPT GPT: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 70% GPT: Ante Delija 30% 70% 30% Elo Elo: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 57% Elo: Ante Delija 43% 57% 43%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Waldo Cortes-AcostaAnte Delija
Strikes landed / min Waldo Cortes-Acosta Strikes landed / min: 5.64 5.64 Ante Delija Strikes landed / min: 4.28 4.28 Strikes absorbed / min Waldo Cortes-Acosta Strikes absorbed / min: 3.60 3.60 Ante Delija Strikes absorbed / min: 3.95 3.95 Striking accuracy Waldo Cortes-Acosta Striking accuracy: 48% 48% Ante Delija Striking accuracy: 38% 38% Striking defense Waldo Cortes-Acosta Striking defense: 52% 52% Ante Delija Striking defense: 52% 52% Takedowns / 15 min Waldo Cortes-Acosta Takedowns / 15 min: 0.55 0.55 Ante Delija Takedowns / 15 min: 0.00 0.00 Takedown defense Waldo Cortes-Acosta Takedown defense: 60% 60% Ante Delija Takedown defense: 75% 75% Sub attempts / 15 min Waldo Cortes-Acosta Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.2 0.2 Ante Delija Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 25% 25% Claude: Submission 10% 10% Claude: Decision 65% 65%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 18% 18% GPT: Submission 7% GPT: Decision 75% 75%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Waldo Cortes-Acosta by Decision, 72% confidence

Cortes-Acosta's superior cardio and volume striking should dominate this heavyweight matchup. Delija lacks the power to finish and has shown poor conditioning in later rounds. Waldo's wrestling defense and constant pressure will neutralize Delija's grappling attempts.

GPT
Waldo Cortes-Acosta by Decision, 70% confidence

Waldo Cortes-Acosta has a clear statistical edge in UFC-level striking volume, accuracy, and defensive metrics. Ante Delija's lack of UFC data creates uncertainty about his ability to perform against a proven volume striker. Cortes-Acosta's takedown defense and moderate offensive wrestling provide enough tools to mitigate unknowns in Delija's grappling. Expect Cortes-Acosta to control the pace with higher output and activity.