Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Ardelean's massive striking volume advantage (4.97 SLPM vs 0.79) combined with superior defensive metrics (52% vs 37%) creates a clear path to victory. While Conejo has been finished by strikes in 3 of her last 4 losses, Ardelean lacks finishing power, making a decision likely. The southpaw stance of Conejo could create early adjustments, but Ardelean's 4-fight experience edge in the UFC should help her adapt.

Ardelean holds a significant striking advantage in both volume and accuracy, with much better defensive metrics. Ruiz relies on wrestling, but her takedown defense is poor and her striking differential is highly negative. Ardelean's perfect takedown defense and Ruiz's low striking output point to Ardelean controlling range and outpointing Ruiz over three rounds.