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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. BradyFeatherweightPrelims
Nathaniel
Wood
8-3UFC
VS
Morgan
Charriere
2-1UFC
Final: Nathaniel Wood by U-DEC
Who wins
Wood winsevenCharriere wins
Elo 60% Wood
Claude 65% Wood
GPT 70% Wood
Claude
65%
Wood
GPT
70%
Wood
Elo
60%
Wood
1586 vs 1512
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'6"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5.64
Landed / min
4.02
4.25
Absorbed / minlower better
4.51
51%
Strike accuracy
50%
54%
Strike defense
53%
1.35
Takedowns / 15
2.06
48%
TD accuracy
46%
73%
TD defense
83%
0.5
Subs / 15
0.3
How it ends
65%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 15%Decision 65%
70%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 10%Decision 70%
Formnewest first
Nathaniel Wood398 days out
W
Daniel Pineda
U-DEC · 2024-02-17
L
Muhammad Naimov
U-DEC · 2023-10-21
W
Andre Fili
U-DEC · 2023-07-22
W
Charles Jourdain
U-DEC · 2022-09-03
W
Charles Rosa
U-DEC · 2022-07-23
Morgan Charriere350 days out
L
Chepe Mariscal
S-DEC · 2024-04-06
W
Gabriel Miranda
KO/TKO · 2024-04-06
W
Manolo Zecchini
KO/TKO · 2023-09-02
Why
Claude
Nathaniel Wood
65% · Decision
- Wood's +1.88 strike differential advantage
- Higher striking volume and accuracy metrics
- 72% takedown defense neutralizes Charriere's wrestling
- Wood's experience against higher-level competition
Write-up
Wood's superior striking volume (5.75 vs 3.87 SLPM) and technical striking accuracy should control the striking exchanges. While Charriere has power, Wood's defensive movement and 56% strike defense will mitigate damage. Wood's pace and cardio advantage will be crucial in later rounds.
GPT
Nathaniel Wood
70% · Decision
- Nathaniel Wood's superior striking ability and volume
- Morgan Charriere's inferior striking defense
- Nathaniel Wood's defensive metrics
- Morgan Charriere's grappling efficiency
Write-up
Nathaniel Wood shows a higher striking volume (SLPM 5.75 vs 3.87) and striking differential (1.75 vs 0.13), indicating superior striking ability. While Morgan Charriere has better grappling stats, Wood's striking and significant defensive metrics are likely to provide an edge in this matchup. Both fighters have shown high consistency and a moderate upward trend in their recent form, but Wood's higher win rate (75% vs 75%) could tip the scales in his favor.