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WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. BradyWelterweightMain card
Leon
Edwards
15-3UFC
VS
Sean
Brady
7-1UFC
Final: Sean Brady by SUB Guillotine Choke
Who wins
Edwards winsevenBrady wins
GPT 65% Brady
Elo 53% Brady
Claude 65% Edwards
Claude
65%
Edwards
GPT
65%
Brady
Elo
53%
Brady
1623 vs 1645
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2"
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
2.68
Landed / min
4.09
2.37
Absorbed / minlower better
3.18
53%
Strike accuracy
55%
53%
Strike defense
60%
1.25
Takedowns / 15
3.49
36%
TD accuracy
52%
65%
TD defense
85%
0.4
Subs / 15
0.9
How it ends
65%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 10%Decision 65%
65%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 20%Submission 15%Decision 65%
Formnewest first
Leon Edwards398 days out
L
Belal Muhammad
U-DEC · 2024-02-17
W
Colby Covington
U-DEC · 2023-12-16
W
Kamaru Usman
M-DEC · 2023-03-18
W
Kamaru Usman
KO/TKO · 2022-08-20
W
Nate Diaz
U-DEC · 2021-06-12
Sean Brady364 days out
W
Gilbert Burns
U-DEC · 2024-03-23
W
Kelvin Gastelum
SUB · 2023-12-02
L
Belal Muhammad
KO/TKO · 2022-10-22
W
Michael Chiesa
U-DEC · 2021-11-20
W
Jake Matthews
SUB · 2021-03-06
Why
Claude
Leon Edwards
65% · Decision
- Edwards' 74" reach provides 2" advantage for maintaining striking distance
- Brady's 85% takedown defense vulnerable to Edwards' sophisticated feints and setups
- Edwards' championship experience vs Brady's first elite opponent test
- Edwards' 53% strike defense neutralizes Brady's volume advantage
Write-up
Edwards' superior striking technique and defensive wrestling should allow him to control distance and prevent Brady's grappling-heavy approach. Edwards' 53% takedown defense and +0.31 striking differential, combined with his southpaw stance, create difficult angles for Brady's orthodox wrestling entries. Recent championship experience and five-round conditioning give Edwards key advantages in later rounds.
GPT
Sean Brady
65% · Decision
- Sean Brady's superior striking volume and takedown efficiency.
- Leon Edwards' recent form showing a mixed trend.
- Sean Brady's high consistency and upward trend.
Write-up
Sean Brady, with his higher striking volume and better takedown efficiency, is expected to outperform Leon Edwards. Edwards has shown a mixed trend in his recent fights, with a significant disadvantage in striking volume. Despite having a reach advantage, Edwards might struggle to keep up with the pace and striking accuracy of Brady.