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UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. BradyLightweightPrelims
Guram Kutateladze
Guram
Kutateladze
2-2UFC
33 yrsElo 1482
VS
Kaue FernandesWINNER
Kaue
Fernandes
1-1UFC
30 yrsElo 1523
Final: Kaue Fernandes by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
70%
Kutateladze
GPT
70%
Fernandes
Elo
56%
Fernandes
1482 vs 1523
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'11" Height 5'9"
72" Reach 73"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
3.95 Landed / min 4.28
3.95 Absorbed / minlower better 1.42
45% Strike accuracy 55%
57% Strike defense 62%
0.77 Takedowns / 15 1.18
20% TD accuracy 100%
79% TD defense 76%
0.0 Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Kaue Fernandes, 2 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 25%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 65%
65%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 10%Decision 65%
GPT: KO/TKO 25%GPT: Submission 10%GPT: Decision 65%
65%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 25%Submission 10%Decision 65%
Formnewest first
Guram Kutateladze391 days out
W
Jordan Vucenic
U-DEC · 2024-02-24
L
Elves Brener
KO/TKO · 2023-07-01
L
Damir Ismagulov
S-DEC · 2022-06-18
W
Mateusz Gamrot
S-DEC · 2020-10-17
Kaue Fernandes391 days out
W
Mohammad Yahya
KO/TKO · 2024-02-24
L
Marc Diakiese
S-DEC · 2023-11-04
Why
Claude
Guram Kutateladze
70% · Decision
  • Higher level of competition faced by Kutateladze
  • 79% takedown defense maintains striking exchanges
  • More diverse striking arsenal and better phase control
  • Superior experience in 3-round fights
Write-up

Kutateladze's experience against higher-level competition and more diverse striking arsenal should overcome Fernandes' power-based approach. His 79% takedown defense and superior volume management suggest he can control the fight's location and pace.

GPT
Kaue Fernandes
70% · Decision
  • Significant advantage in striking accuracy and defense for Fernandes
  • Superior takedown accuracy for Fernandes
  • Higher volume of strikes per minute for Kutateladze
  • Similar fighting styles with a preference for striking
Write-up

Kaue Fernandes holds a significant advantage in striking accuracy (57% vs. 45%) and defense (66% vs. 57%), as well as a superior takedown accuracy (100% vs. 20%). Despite Kutateladze's higher volume of strikes per minute (3.95 vs. 3.04), Fernandes' defensive efficiency and effective strike rate suggest he's more capable of managing the distance and exploiting openings in Kutateladze's defense. Both fighters have a preference for striking, but Fernandes' superior takedown accuracy could allow him to dictate the pace and control the fight on the ground if necessary.