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UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. BradyBantamweightPrelims
Nathan Fletcher
Nathan
Fletcher
1-0UFC
27 yrsElo 1502*
VS
Caolan LoughranWINNER
Caolan
Loughran
1-2UFC
28 yrsElo 1507*
Final: Caolan Loughran by S-DEC
Who wins
Claude
75%
Fletcher
GPT
70%
Fletcher
Elo
51%
Loughran
1502 vs 1507
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'7" Height 5'6"
70" Reach 68"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
2.25 Landed / min 4.73
0.96 Absorbed / minlower better 5.20
70% Strike accuracy 42%
40% Strike defense 52%
9.63 Takedowns / 15 3.00
66% TD accuracy 34%
0% TD defense 87%
2.4 Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Nathan Fletcher, 1 UFC fight.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 15%Claude: Submission 60%Claude: Decision 25%
60%Submission
Claude calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 15%Submission 60%Decision 25%
GPT: KO/TKO 15%GPT: Submission 60%GPT: Decision 25%
60%Submission
GPT calls Submission, Round 2
KO/TKO 15%Submission 60%Decision 25%
Formnewest first
Nathan Fletcher364 days out
W
Zygimantas Ramaska
SUB · 2024-03-23
Caolan Loughran357 days out
W
Angel Pacheco
U-DEC · 2024-03-30
L
Jake Hadley
U-DEC · 2024-02-17
L
Taylor Lapilus
U-DEC · 2023-09-02
Why
Claude
Nathan Fletcher
75% · Submission
  • Fletcher's overwhelming 9.63 takedown average
  • 2.4 submission average indicates strong finishing ability
  • 70% striking accuracy allows for setup opportunities
  • Loughran's recent 1-3 record shows vulnerability
Write-up

Fletcher's dominant grappling metrics (9.63 takedowns per fight, 66% accuracy) present a severe stylistic problem for Loughran despite his perfect TDD. Fletcher's 2.4 submissions per fight and superior control time suggest he'll find opportunities to finish on the ground.

GPT
Nathan Fletcher
70% · Submission
  • Fletcher's high takedown average and submission attempts per fight
  • Loughran's perfect takedown defense
  • Fletcher's superior striking accuracy
  • Loughran's lesser striking differential and accuracy
Write-up

Fletcher's impressive takedown average and submission attempts per fight suggest that he will look to take this fight to the ground. Loughran's takedown defense is perfect, but his striking differential and accuracy are not enough to counter Fletcher's grappling dominance.