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UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. BradyMiddleweightPrelims
Christian Leroy DuncanWINNER
Christian Leroy
Duncan
3-2UFC
29 yrsElo 1557
VS
Andrey Pulyaev
Andrey
Pulyaev
27 yrsElo 1444*UFC debut
Final: Christian Leroy Duncan by U-DEC
Who wins
Claude
75%
Duncan
GPT
70%
Pulyaev
Elo
66%
Duncan
1557 vs 1444
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
6'2" Height 6'4"
79" Reach 78"
Switch Stance Southpaw
4.45 Landed / min 3.60
2.36 Absorbed / minlower better 2.94
57% Strike accuracy 55%
54% Strike defense 55%
0.43 Takedowns / 15 0.27
20% TD accuracy 16%
57% TD defense 56%
0.0 Subs / 15 0.0
Small sample: Andrey Pulyaev, 0 UFC fights.
How it ends
Claude: KO/TKO 55%Claude: Submission 10%Claude: Decision 35%
55%KO/TKO
Claude calls KO/TKO, Round 2
KO/TKO 55%Submission 10%Decision 35%
GPT: KO/TKO 30%GPT: Submission 10%GPT: Decision 60%
60%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 30%Submission 10%Decision 60%
Formnewest first
Christian Leroy Duncan384 days out
W
Claudio Ribeiro
KO/TKO · 2024-03-02
L
Gregory Rodrigues
U-DEC · 2024-02-17
W
Denis Tiuliulin
KO/TKO · 2023-11-18
L
Armen Petrosyan
U-DEC · 2023-06-17
W
Dusko Todorovic
KO/TKO · 2023-03-18
Andrey Pulyaev
No UFC fights
Why
Claude
Christian Leroy Duncan
75% · KO/TKO
  • Duncan's proven UFC-caliber competition level
  • Stance advantage against southpaw opponent
  • Duncan's 2 recent KO victories showing power
  • Superior takedown defense maintaining preferred range
Write-up

Duncan's proven UFC-level experience and recent KO wins demonstrate finishing ability, while Pulyaev's UFC debut status and southpaw stance vulnerability to switch hitters create exploitable openings. Duncan's superior defensive wrestling (64% TDD) should keep the fight standing where he holds advantages.

GPT
Andrey Pulyaev
70% · Decision
  • Andrey Pulyaev's superior striking volume and accuracy
  • Christian Leroy Duncan's grappling disadvantage
  • Andrey Pulyaev's potential unknown form
  • Christian Leroy Duncan's mixed recent form
Write-up

Based on the statistical analysis and past performance, Andrey Pulyaev has a better striking volume and accuracy which is likely to give him an edge in this matchup. Christian Leroy Duncan's grappling statistics reveal a significant disadvantage which could hinder his performance. Duncan's recent form has been mixed with a high level of consistency, but Pulyaev's unknown recent form coupled with his superior striking statistics suggests he may have the upper hand.