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Joselyne Edwards vs Priscila Cachoeira

Women's Bantamweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez

FINAL: Joselyne Edwards by KO/TKO Punch
Joselyne Edwards
Joselyne Edwards
Age 29 · Elo 1573
WWLLW
105 days since last fight
vs
Priscila Cachoeira
Priscila Cachoeira
Age 36 · Elo 1471
WLLWW
147 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Joselyne EdwardsPriscila Cachoeira
Claude Claude: Joselyne Edwards 68% Claude: Priscila Cachoeira 32% 68% 32% GPT GPT: Joselyne Edwards 75% GPT: Priscila Cachoeira 25% 75% 25% Elo Elo: Joselyne Edwards 64% Elo: Priscila Cachoeira 36% 64% 36%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Joselyne EdwardsPriscila Cachoeira
Strikes landed / min Joselyne Edwards Strikes landed / min: 4.48 4.48 Priscila Cachoeira Strikes landed / min: 3.76 3.76 Strikes absorbed / min Joselyne Edwards Strikes absorbed / min: 3.19 3.19 Priscila Cachoeira Strikes absorbed / min: 7.03 7.03 Striking accuracy Joselyne Edwards Striking accuracy: 52% 52% Priscila Cachoeira Striking accuracy: 44% 44% Striking defense Joselyne Edwards Striking defense: 49% 49% Priscila Cachoeira Striking defense: 43% 43% Takedowns / 15 min Joselyne Edwards Takedowns / 15 min: 1.23 1.23 Priscila Cachoeira Takedowns / 15 min: 0.15 0.15 Takedown defense Joselyne Edwards Takedown defense: 61% 61% Priscila Cachoeira Takedown defense: 65% 65% Sub attempts / 15 min Joselyne Edwards Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.6 0.6 Priscila Cachoeira Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.0 0.0

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 20% 20% Claude: Submission 25% 25% Claude: Decision 55% 55%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 10% 10% GPT: Submission 5% GPT: Decision 85% 85%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Joselyne Edwards by Decision, 68% confidence

Edwards holds significant advantages in striking defense (49% vs 43%), reach (5" advantage), and recent form with 2 submission wins. Cachoeira's poor striking differential (-3.27) and vulnerability to submissions (3 sub losses in last 5) plays into Edwards' improving ground game. Edwards' superior cardio from consistent 3-round fights should dominate late.

GPT
Joselyne Edwards by Decision, 75% confidence

Edwards holds clear statistical advantages in striking accuracy, strike differential, and grappling activity. Cachoeira's high absorption rate and negative strike differential suggest she is vulnerable to volume strikers, while Edwards' moderate takedown ability offers additional paths to control. Cachoeira's finishing power is not reflected in recent results, and Edwards' defensive metrics should allow her to avoid major damage en route to a decision win.