Back
WINNER
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. HernandezBantamweightPrelims
Elijah
Smith
1-0UFC
VS
Toshiomi
Kazama
1-2UFC
Final: Elijah Smith by KO/TKO Slam
Who wins
Smith winsevenKazama wins
Elo 62% Smith
Claude 72% Smith
GPT 75% Smith
Claude
72%
Smith
GPT
75%
Smith
Elo
62%
Smith
1540 vs 1458
Tale of the tapeUFC averages
5'9"
Height
5'7"
71"
Reach
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.18
Landed / min
1.72
2.96
Absorbed / minlower better
3.89
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
46%
Strike defense
42%
2.98
Takedowns / 15
1.68
53%
TD accuracy
12%
53%
TD defense
66%
1.1
Subs / 15
0.6
Small sample: Elijah Smith, 1 UFC fight.
How it ends
60%Decision
Claude calls Decision
KO/TKO 15%Submission 25%Decision 60%
75%Decision
GPT calls Decision
KO/TKO 10%Submission 15%Decision 75%
Formnewest first
Elijah Smith174 days out
W
Vince Morales
U-DEC · 2025-02-15
Toshiomi Kazama524 days out
W
Charalampos Grigoriou
SUB · 2024-03-02
L
Garrett Armfield
KO/TKO · 2023-08-26
L
Rinya Nakamura
KO/TKO · 2023-02-04
Why
Claude
Elijah Smith
72% · Decision
- Smith averages 5 takedowns per fight with 100% TDD vs Kazama's 66% TDD
- Kazama's 50% win rate with 2 recent KO losses shows durability issues
- 2-inch reach advantage for Smith in orthodox mirror matchup
- Smith's striking differential (+3.28) vastly superior to Kazama's (-2.17)
Write-up
Smith's superior grappling metrics (5 TDAvg vs 1.68, 45% accuracy vs 12%) combined with perfect takedown defense creates a dominant wrestling advantage. Kazama's recent submission wins came against lower-level competition, while his KO losses expose vulnerability to pressure. Smith's 71" reach advantage and higher striking volume (5 SLPM vs 1.72) should control distance effectively.
GPT
Elijah Smith
75% · Decision
- Smith's 5.0 takedowns per fight vs Kazama's 66% TD defense
- Smith's significant striking volume advantage (5.0 SLpM vs 1.72)
- Kazama's low striking volume and takedown accuracy (12%)
Write-up
Smith's high-volume wrestling and perfect takedown defense should neutralize Kazama's limited offensive output. Smith lands more strikes, absorbs slightly more, but controls grappling exchanges with far superior takedown ability and 100% defense. Kazama's low takedown accuracy and striking volume make it unlikely he can overwhelm Smith or finish him.