Elijah Smith vs Toshiomi Kazama

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

Smith's superior grappling metrics (5 TDAvg vs 1.68, 45% accuracy vs 12%) combined with perfect takedown defense creates a dominant wrestling advantage. Kazama's recent submission wins came against lower-level competition, while his KO losses expose vulnerability to pressure. Smith's 71" reach advantage and higher striking volume (5 SLPM vs 1.72) should control distance effectively.

Smith's high-volume wrestling and perfect takedown defense should neutralize Kazama's limited offensive output. Smith lands more strikes, absorbs slightly more, but controls grappling exchanges with far superior takedown ability and 100% defense. Kazama's low takedown accuracy and striking volume make it unlikely he can overwhelm Smith or finish him.