Fight Genie logo Fight Genie
Back to the card

Cody Brundage vs Eric McConico

Light Heavyweight · Prelims · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez

FINAL: Eric McConico by S-DEC
Cody Brundage
Cody Brundage
Age 31 · Elo 1464
WLLWW
160 days since last fight
vs
Eric McConico
Eric McConico
Age 35 · Elo 1477
L
167 days since last fight

Who wins, by source

Cody BrundageEric McConico
Claude Claude: Cody Brundage 72% Claude: Eric McConico 28% 72% 28% GPT GPT: Cody Brundage 80% GPT: Eric McConico 20% 80% 20% Elo Elo: Cody Brundage 48% Elo: Eric McConico 52% 48% 52%

Each row splits one source's view of the fight. The dashed line is even odds. Where the models sit further from the market, they are claiming an edge.

Tale of the tape

Cody BrundageEric McConico
Strikes landed / min Cody Brundage Strikes landed / min: 2.50 2.50 Eric McConico Strikes landed / min: 2.92 2.92 Strikes absorbed / min Cody Brundage Strikes absorbed / min: 2.95 2.95 Eric McConico Strikes absorbed / min: 3.05 3.05 Striking accuracy Cody Brundage Striking accuracy: 51% 51% Eric McConico Striking accuracy: 46% 46% Striking defense Cody Brundage Striking defense: 50% 50% Eric McConico Striking defense: 45% 45% Takedowns / 15 min Cody Brundage Takedowns / 15 min: 1.80 1.80 Eric McConico Takedowns / 15 min: 0.64 0.64 Takedown defense Cody Brundage Takedown defense: 66% 66% Eric McConico Takedown defense: 68% 68% Sub attempts / 15 min Cody Brundage Sub attempts / 15 min: 0.5 0.5 Eric McConico Sub attempts / 15 min: no data -

Career UFC averages. Bars are scaled within each row, so compare left against right, not row against row. The stronger side is highlighted, and for strikes absorbed the lower number is the better one.

How it ends

KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Claude Claude: KO/TKO 25% 25% Claude: Submission 20% 20% Claude: Decision 55% 55%GPT GPT: KO/TKO 10% 10% GPT: Submission 60% 60% GPT: Decision 30% 30%

Each model's split across the ways this fight can finish, out of 100.

The analysis

Claude
Cody Brundage by Decision, 72% confidence

McConico's complete lack of UFC data makes him a massive unknown, but Brundage's proven UFC experience and well-rounded skillset should carry him through. Brundage's 2.31 takedowns per fight and 50% accuracy will likely dominate a debuting fighter. The southpaw stance of McConico could cause early issues, but Brundage's veteran savvy and grinding style should control the fight after the first round.

GPT
Cody Brundage by Submission, 80% confidence

Brundage has significant UFC experience and proven grappling ability, while McConico enters with no available UFC-level statistics. Brundage's takedowns and submission attempts are at a high rate, and McConico is untested at this level, making Brundage a clear favorite to control and finish on the ground.